Peak oil? Well the oil-rich Middle-East woke up in 1973 and discovered the power of restricted supply, and once they opened that particular magic lamp they have used it ever since. It's fairly clear - and eminently logical - that if there is a limited resource and wild demand that the suppliers are in the box seat. In the case of oil we have seen a deliberate slow down in production, a restriction in supply, that has forced the price up. Indeed we now see that some oil fields have been left untapped, for future use. Which is sensible, of course, but does impose another restrictor on peak production.
Now this creates a more controlled stream of wealth for the oil exporters, which is what they need. They don't want to give the stuff away, or pump it out too quickly and create a glut. So they restrict supply. Now back in 1973 this was a sharp shock for the oil-desperate, now it's more like a blunt weapon. The answer for the consumers is to look at alternatives, but they all carry costs.
Ethanol creation relies on a wasteful method of production and robs us of food.
Solar is largely inefficient, useless at night, dependent on weather and locale and consumes enormous areas of land.
Wind farms suffer similar constraints.
Geo thermal and tidal generation requires specific locations, usually far distant from the consumers. And
nuclear is just plain scary to most people.
Hydrogen? Yes, well, we all want to see it happen but the problems of storage and distribution are horrendous.
Now we
can fix these problems, but we haven't had the
will to do so. And the suppliers have let us have enough of that powerfully addictive black gold to keep the price too low to encourage the development of alternatives.
I think "sucked in" in one way of putting it. (And I don't blame the oil exporters at all - it's plain enough we'd all do the same.)
Have a read of this:
“King Abdullah's remarks reflect the new thinking in the Middle East, where the Kuwaiti parliament has also expressed a need to stabilize oil exports. Higher oil prices enable producers to focus more on domestic investments than on increasing exports. All Gulf countries have seen huge growth in domestic demand for power and fuel. By 2015, Iran may consume as much of its crude oil as they export. The King’s remarks mean that we in the industrialized countries better start looking for other solutions.”Now get back in your
gas-guzzling cars and rage against the cost of gas at the pump. As I said,
sucked in.
Labels: energy, oil, peak oil